The first case studies using the model are very basic yet they serve to demonstrate how the Cambiant model can be used to explore and evaluate policy and their resultant trends.
Program participants developed initial data on cases of environmental and economic issues. These were selected to assist in evaluating and developing the use of the Cambiant model, and will serve as the basis for further studies as the model is developed. The cases include data sources and preliminary runs of the Cambiant model and simulation to evaluate the cases. They demonstrate the capabilities of the model to generate and identify trends and relationships. The cases were selected with subjects that will continue to be studied over time as the model becomes more refined. *Downloads available at bottom of page.
Analyzing Policy Trends with the Cambiant Model: The Swedish Economy and a Sustainable Future
Written by: Alan Berkel, MBA from Dominican University of California
Abstract: The following scenario of Sweden’s energy uses the general trends in the Swedish economy and compares investments in converting to renewable sources to continuing to rely on fossil fuel, with exposure to highly volatile international markets. The model clearly shows that Sweden’s conversion to sustainable resources will, in a relatively short time span, lead to a far more stable economy with higher total asset value than remaining with the current level of fossil fuel consumption while maintaining a highly equitable level of wealth distribution.
Analyzing Policy Trends with the Cambiant Model: The German Government and a Nuclear-Free Future
Written by: Jonathan Mooney, MBA from Dominican University of California
Abstract: The German energy market was selected because of the important relationship between the way that energy costs are currently priced, the negative external costs that are associated with fossil fuel energy, and how the Cambiant model can be used to evaluate these factors. Negative external costs are not usually in the equation when valuing the true cost of energy. If measured incorrectly, and not properly accounted for, the proliferation of fossil fuels can have a devastating effect on Germany’s economy, population, and natural assets for years into the future.
Analyzing Policy Trends with the Cambiant Model: The Australian Economic Outlook
Written by: Nikolaus Ackermann, MBA from Dominican University of California