North by 2020: Defining Risk in Arctic Coastal and Offshore Resource Development: Perspectives and International Standards

A University of Alaska North by 2020 Forum / International Arctic Research Center Seminar Series
Spring Semester 2011

The purpose of this seminar series is to explore overarching concepts of assessment and mitigation of risks applied in different settings relevant for natural resource development. Potential questions addressed by speakers and in the discussion include: How can risk be evaluated and integrated into decision-making? What can be learned about potential biases from cognition and decision science? What different paradigms or measures of risk are employed by different institutions? How can the decision process integrate different perceptions or understanding of risk by different stakeholders?

A dozen speakers made seminar presentations in the fall; their presentation can be viewed below.

Contacts For All Presentations

Hajo Eicken, GI & IARC, UAF, hajo.eicken@gi.alaska.edu, 907-474-7280
Andrew Metzger, Dept. of Civil Engineering, UAF, atmetzger@alaska.edu, 907-474-6120
Sharman Haley, ISER, UAA, afsh@uaa.alaska.edu, 907-786-5429

Schedule / Spring Semester 2011 (as of April 11, 2011)

3:30 Friday, April 15th, 2011, UAA Diplomacy Building 301:
Videoconference Locations: Videoconference Locations: UAA DPL 301, UAF Butrovich 212B, Juneau Lena Pt 301, BOEMRE Regional Director's Conference Room, Suite 500, 3801 Centerpoint Drive, and Barrow Arctic Research Consortium

  • Scott Goldsmith (UAA; ISER): “The Economic Risks of Not Developing in the Arctic Offshore”
  • Kevin Banks (Division of Oil and Gas, ADNR): "Incorporating Risk-Based Decisionmaking into Government Actions"
  • Presentation Video (Scott Goldsmith and Kevin Banks): YouTube

3:30 Thursday, April 21st, 2011, UAA Diplomacy Building 301:
Videoconference Locations: UAA DPL 301, UAF IARC 401, Juneau Lena Pt 301, BOEMRE Regional Director's Conference Room, Suite 500, 3801 Centerpoint Drive, and Barrow Arctic Research Consortium

  • Henry Huntington (Pew Environment Group): "Risks, Responses, Consequences: Why We Worry about an Arctic Oil Spill"
  • Alice Bullington (Conoco-Phillips): "Capital Project Risk Management in the Arctic Environment"
  • Presentation Video (Henry Huntington and Alice Bullington): YouTube

3:30 Thursday, April 28th, 2011, UAA Administration Building 204:
Videoconference Locations: UAA ADM 204, UAF Butrovich 212B, Juneau Lena Pt 301, BOEMRE Regional Director's Conference Room, Suite 500, 3801 Centerpoint Drive, and Barrow Arctic Research Consortium

  • Jeffery Loman (BOEMRE): "Preventing Success from Breeding Complacency"
  • Susan Childs (Shell): "The Safety Case: Implementing a System for Identifying and Addressing Risks in Offshore Operations"
  • Presentation Video (Jeffery Loman and Susan Childs): YouTube

7:00 Tuesday, May 3rd, 2011, UAA Fine Arts Building 150:
Location: UAA ARTS 150

    Panel Discussion: "Managing Oil and Gas Risks in the Arctic Offshore: Emerging Perspectives." Panel speakers include:

  • Fran Ulmer, Fran Ulmer, Chair, US Arctic Research Commission
  • Catherine Foerster, Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission, "Ensuring mechanical integrity from exploration to abandonment in Alaska."
  • Jeffrey Loman, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement, "Risk Management – The NASA Experience"
  • Karlene Roberts, Center for Catastrophic Risk Management, UC Berkeley, "High
 Reliability 
Organiza1ons 
(HROs) 
and
 High
 Performance."
  • Panel Audio: http://greenandgold.uaa.alaska.edu/podcasts/index.php?id=491

3:30 Thursday, May 5th, 2011, UAA Administration Building 204:
Videoconference Locations: UAA ADM 204, UAF Butrovich 212B, Juneau Lena Pt 301, BOEMRE Regional Director's Conference Room, Suite 500, 3801 Centerpoint Drive, and Barrow Arctic Research Consortium

  • Karlene Roberts (UC Berkeley; Center for Catastrophic Risk Management)

3:30 Friday, May 6th, 2011, Butrovich 212b:
Videoconference Locations: UAA DPL 301, UAF Butrovich 212B, Juneau Lena Pt 301, BOEMRE Regional Director's Conference Room, Suite 500, 3801 Centerpoint Drive, and Barrow Arctic Research Consortium

  • Karlene Roberts (UC Berkeley; Center for Catastrophic Risk Management)

3:30 Thursday, May 12th, 2011, UAA LIB 307:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF IARC 401, Juneau Lena Pt 301, BOEMRE Regional Director's Conference Room, Suite 500, 3801 Centerpoint Drive, and Barrow Arctic Research Consortium

  • Hajo Eicken (UAF; IARC/Geophysical Institute): “Assessing Environmental Hazards in Arctic Coastal and Offshore Resource Development”
  • Mandy Kaempf (UAA): “Risk Complexity: The Arctic Offshore as a Case Study” Discussion
  • Discussion
  • Presentation Video (Hajo Eicken and Mandy Kaempf): YouTube

Typically two presentations (30 min each) on each day of the seminar, with the presenter appearing in person either at the University of Alaska Fairbanks (UAF), the University of Alaska Anchorage (UAA), the UAF Lena Point Lab in Juneau (JNU) or the Barrow Arctic Research Center (BARC) in Barrow (indicated by “@” and the location’s acronym). For each of the talks, all four sites will be able to participate via teleconference, with the specific locations indicated below for each date.

The presentations will be accessible online via a live video stream and archived as a video file a few days after the presentation. The webpage to access all this information along with a schedule of future talks is at: http://www.iarc.uaf.edu/NX2020/seminar-defining-risk-in-arctic.

Schedule / Fall Semester 2010

Thursday September 16, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF Akasofu/IARC 401, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Introduction to the seminar series (H. Eicken, UAF) - @UAF
  • Walt Spring (Bear Ice Technology/Shell): The international standard on Offshore Arctic Structures ISO 19906 - What is it? When is it to be used? How does it incorporate risk? - @UAF

Friday September 24, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF Irving Room 201, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Laura Tesch (Environmental Resources Management): Aleutians Risk Assessment Program - @UAA

Thursday October 14, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF Irving Room 201, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Ben Greene & Robert Suydam (North Slope Borough) NSB perspectives on risk: Where to draw the line? Are we willing to gamble our Maktak to attract Big-Oil? - @BARC

Thursday October 21, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF Akasofu/IARC 401, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Elke Weber (Center for Research on Environmental Decisions, Columbia University): Understanding, communicating, and managing risks across stakeholders and cultures - @UAF

Friday October 22, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB307, UAF Akasofu/IARC 401, BARC Auditorium

  • David Barnes (UAF): Brief update on the Arctic Council's Emergency Prevention, Preparedness and Response Program - @UAF
  • Elke Weber (Center for Research on Environmental Decisions, Columbia University): Understanding, communicating, and managing risks across stakeholders and cultures - @UAA

Friday November 5, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA ADM 204, UAF Akasofu/IARC 401, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Gabriel Wolken (State of Alaska, DNR-DGGS): Assessing natural hazards in Alaska's coastal communities in a changing climate - @UAF
  • Cdr. Shane Montoya (USCG): R=SP2 (Risk = Severity, Probability, Preparedness) - @UAA

Thursday November 11, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF Akasofu/IARC 401, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Andrew Metzger (UAF): Engineering aspects of ice-related risks to offshore structures - @UAF
  • Seong-dae Kim (UAA): Hurricane risk analysis - @UAA

Thursday November 18, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF Akasofu/IARC 401, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Ira Rosen (Alaska Dept. Environmental Conservation) and Tim Robertson (Nuka Research): The Alaska Risk Assessment Project: How Does the State Assess and Manage Risks from Oil and Gas Development Activities? - @UAA
  • Lawson Brigham (UAF) - Risk assessment in the context of the Arctic Marine Shipping Assessment and evolving International Maritime Organization Standards - @UAF

Thursday December 2, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA ADM 204, UAF Akasofu/IARC 401, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Carol Holley (Pacific Environment): Risk Assessment and the Precautionary Principle: At Odds in the Arctic? - @UAA
  • Sheila Selkregg (UAA): Cultural dissociation and risk exposure: Insights into critical decision making and loss of risk management commitment - @UAA

Thursday December 9, 3.00pm:
Videoconference Locations: UAA LIB 307, UAF Irving 201, Juneau Lena Point Bldg 301, BARC Auditorium

  • Summary discussion - @UAF with participation by all sites

Typically two presentations (30 min each) on each day of the seminar, with the presenter appearing in person either at the University of Alaska Fairbanks (UAF), the University of Alaska Anchorage (UAA), the UAF Lena Point Lab in Juneau (JNU) or the Barrow Arctic Research Center (BARC) in Barrow (indicated by "@" and the location's acronym). For each of the talks, all four sites will be able to participate via teleconference, with the specific locations indicated below for each date.