How Often Do Favourites Win in EPL?
It's no secret that Manchester City is the favourite to win the EPL this season. The club had scored 138 points in the two previous seasons, but many felt that it failed to replace Vincent Kompany in defence, and manager Pep Guardiola over-pushed his players. The question then arises, how often do favourites win in EPL? The answer is less common than you might think, but the odds do exist.
A recent study found that, on average, teams priced at 1.5 odds were expected to win more than 50% of the time. The smallest favourites were favored nearly three quarters of the time, but the biggest favorites tended to win only half of the time. This can be because bookmakers have more information about the team at the start of the season than they do during the season. The larger the margin of error, the more likely the favourite is to win.
Chelsea's last season was difficult for the club's manager Jose Mourinho. The Portuguese had a tough time impressing in his third season. He had also burned many bridges with rival clubs. Chelsea struggled against the other London clubs, and the season ended in defeat. So, Chelsea fans were unsure about his future. With a new manager, however, they are now a positive force to be reckoned with.
While the percentage of favourites winning varies from gameweek to season, it is important to note that not all favourites are odds-on. On average, six out of ten favourites win accumulators. For example, on New Year's Day, five favourites won ten out of a possible 20 games. That's nearly a 50% strike rate. In fact, five out of ten favourites won during the last gameweek of the season.
League tables provide a much more detailed picture of teams' performances than surface-level statistics. League tables also include score differentials between teams. Moreover, these tables contain news about the latest events in the Premier League. As with all sports leagues, news on EPL Fixtures is obtained from a number of sources, including top-tier digital media outlets in the UK. And if you're unsure about how to place your bet, you can always look at the results of the last two seasons.
The odds on a favourite winning the EPL are generally smaller than their chances of finishing second. That means that if you're looking to win on average, you should bet on the second-favourite. But this is still not a sure thing. Moreover, you might have to place a bet on the second-favourite to make a profit. This isn't a bad idea, but it's definitely a risk that's worth taking.