The Quarterly Hail

Blog and Newsletter for NWS Hastings

Nebraska's own, Unadilla Bill

Groundhog Day Forecasts and Climate History

From the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Every February 2, a crowd of thousands gathers at Gobbler’s Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, to await a special forecast from a groundhog named Phil. If the 20-pound groundhog emerges and sees his shadow, the United States can expect six more weeks of winter weather according to legend. But, if Phil doesn’t see his shadow, we can expect warmer temperatures and the arrival of an early spring.

Even though he’s been forecasting since 1887, Phil’s track record for the entire country isn’t perfect. To determine just how accurate he is, we’ve compared U.S. national temperatures with Phil’s forecasts. On average, Phil has gotten it right 50% of the time over the past 10 years.

January 25-26, 2021: 6-12" of Heavy Snow (localized more) Blankets Nearly Our Entire Coverage Area

By: NWS Hastings Staff

During a roughly 36-hour stretch between the evening of Sunday January 24th and the morning of Tuesday the 26th, a major winter storm took direct aim on the entire NWS Hastings coverage area, dropping a widespread 6-12" of heavy (and fairly wet) snow, with unofficial higher reports of up to around 15" (see map and list of totals below). For all areas, the majority of snow piled up between 6am-6pm on the 25th, snarling travel and shutting down countless schools and businesses at the start of the work-week. For especially the southeast half of the area, this was the biggest winter storm (in terms of snow amounts) in at least five years, since at least the Groundhog Day storm/blizzard of Feb. 2, 2016. For at least one official NWS coop observer station (Hebron), the storm total of 12.0" was technically the largest in thirty-four years (since march 1987)! Only far western portions of our local area (primarily portions of Dawson/Gosper/Furnas counties) accumulated less than 6", but still managed at least 3-5". While snow was the only precipitation type for most of the area, a brief period of freezing rain/light icing was noted mainly in/near Mitchell County KS (the extreme southeast corner of our coverage area).

Although snow amounts varied somewhat across our area (generally highest within counties along/east of the Highway 281 corridor and lowest farther west), this event was a bit unique in that our ENTIRE coverage area received several inches of snow, with no truly sharp divide between the "haves" and "have nots" (as often occurs). From a moisture (melted liquid) perspective, this storm was actually very beneficial, featuring widespread totals of mainly 0.50-1.20"...not a bad thing considering that our entire coverage area was in Moderate (D1), Severe (D2) or Extreme (D3) drought going into this storm.

Despite causing significant disruptions to travel, fortunately this storm was not a true/crippling blizzard, as sustained winds speeds through most of it "only" averaged 15-25 MPH/gusts up to 30-35 MPH. Even so, winds were just strong enough to promote modest blowing/drifting, especially during the evening of the 25th into the early morning of the 26th as winds picked up a bit and the snow became a bit drier. Temperatures were also not all that extreme during the storm, with daytime highs on the 25th at least reaching the low-20s, and morning lows on the 26th dropping no lower than 10-15º.

Briefly covering the meteorological background and timing: The primary feature was a potent mid-upper level low pressure system that gradually tracked east-northeast from the CO/KS border area on the morning of the 25th, across the heart of our local area during the daylight hours (promoting the heaviest snow during that time), and then departing into IA by daybreak on the 26th. The first flakes started flying across southern portions of our local area on the evening of the 24th, while the last few flurries faded away no later than 6-8am on the 26th.

From a forecasting perspective here at NWS Hastings, this storm was a little bit "sneaky" in the sense that it was not "truly obvious" several days beforehand that it would end up being a "big deal". In fact, as little as 3 days before the event some computer models still suggested a weaker storm, with maybe only up to 4-6" of snow in the southeastern half of our area, and only 1-3" farther north and west. However, by Saturday afternoon (Jan. 23), concern had grown enough in the potential for a bigger storm that the first Winter Storm Watch was issued for southeastern portions of the area. By early Sunday morning (Jan. 24), it was finally very apparent that this system was indeed going to be a fairly major snow-maker, and a Winter Storm Warning was issued for all but the extreme northern fringes of our area (this north area was eventually added to the Warning as well on the early morning of the 25th).

2020 Top Weather Events

By: Cindy Fay

The year 2020 had its fair share of memorable moments, but overall the weather across south central Nebraska and north central Kansas was a little more subdued compared to recent years. We've highlighted a few of the more extreme events throughout the year...from snow events, to severe weather with large hail and brief tornadoes...to increasing drought conditions and days with smoke from western wild fires.

February 25th - A Banded Heavy Snowfall Event

The late evening of February 24th into the morning of Tuesday the 25th featured an intriguing mesoscale snow event where an intense, narrow band of snow developed and produced impressive snowfall rates and amounts. The precipitation began as liquid with spotty rain showers, but as cold air deepened and forcing increased with a potent upper level disturbance crossing the Central Plains, the rain transitioned to snow and intensified. A fairly narrow band of heavy, wet snow focused along a frontal zone early on February 25th, oriented roughly from the Gothenburg and Cozad areas to Edison and Beaver City in south central Nebraska, and southward through the Phillipsburg, Logan and Osborne areas in north central Kansas.

The highest snowfall amounts were concentrated within a swath no more than 10-15 miles wide, with snow totals tapering off to barely a dusting only a few miles on either side of the heavy snow band. Snow amounts within the heart of the band were impressive...generally 6 to 10 inches! Slightly outside the main band, totals of 3 to 4.5 inches fell in the Cambridge, Gothenburg, Cozad, NE and Plainville, KS areas. The snow blanketed the landscape and produced a picturesque setting due to the lack of wind. Aerial photography vividly depicted just how narrow this snow swath was.

Beaver City, NEphoto by Furnas County Sheriff's Office
Phillipsburg, KS 5.7Ephoto by David Roberts
Aerial photo looking north/northwestacross mainly Osborne County, KSphoto by Leigh Marts

July 8th-9th - Severe Thunderstorms Produce Damaging Winds and Large Hail

During the evening of Wednesday, July 8th, thunderstorms developed along a cold front and surface trough in northern and western Nebraska. The storms organized into a line, which advanced south and east across the heart of south central Nebraska and north central Kansas. These severe storms entered the NWS Hastings area after 10pm and lasted well into the early morning hours of Thursday, July 9th, producing significant and widespread straight-line wind damage with numerous reports of gusts at least 60-70 MPH. Trees, tree limbs, crops and power lines were impacted, along with a handful of structures (such as grain bins). Many communities were impacted with brief power outages. There was also some isolated hail up to golf ball size in Furnas County. Additionally, a narrow line of storms trained over the same locations, producing a band of up to 2-3" of rain that caused brief flooding in Mitchell County, KS.

Crop Damagephoto by Mike Schardt
Mobile Home Damaged in Cawker City, KSphoto by Mitchell County Emergency Management
Large Hail in Wilsonville, NEphoto by Prairy Sky

August 14th - Tornadoes and Huge Hail

Thunderstorms initiated in the afternoon hours along a cold front, and a supercell thunderstorm first intensified over Polk and northern York Counties and started producing severe hail. The storm built to the south-southwest during the evening and grew in size and intensity, even spawning three brief EF-0 tornadoes. These tornadoes touched down along a roughly 15-mile long corridor from near Interstate 80 to a few miles south of Hampton, NE, to the Stockham and Saronville areas. The tornado near Hampton damaged irrigation pipe, overturned a center pivot, destroyed a lean-to shed and flattened. The tornado in southern Hamilton County began in a freshly rowed alfalfa field and scattered the alfalfa. The tornado between Stockham and Saronville damaged corn and narrowly missed a farmstead and outbuildings.

The main supercell storm continued to trek south during the evening, moving into north central Kansas and merging with another storm as it went on to produce huge hail! The cities of Mankato and Jewell, KS were the hardest hit from copious amounts of tennis ball to softball sized hail. The hail caused extensive damage to homes, vehicles and crops. Farther south, hail the size of ping pong balls impacted Cawker City and golf ball size hail fell in the Osborne area.

Tornado South of Stockham, NEphoto by Kirt Smith
Large Hail 3N Jewell, KSphoto by Kayla Dunstan
Large Hail 5E Lawrence, NEphoto by Mark W

Multiple Days with Hazy Skies from Western United States Wildfire Smoke (Summer-Early Fall)

The 2020 Western United States wildfire season was particularly severe, as a series of major fires raged across states such as Colorado, California, Oregon and Washington (among others). Fires ignited at various times during the summer months and continued into the fall, with extremely dry and at-times windy conditions proving favorable for significant fire growth. Smoke from many of these Western fires was routinely transported eastward by the upper level jet stream, often overspreading the skies across the Central Plains on multiple late summer and early-fall days. This resulted in several days with a notably-hazy/white-looking sky and resultant filtered sunshine affecting many states including Nebraska/Kansas. Even well into October, a resurgence of Colorado wildfire activity provided several more days of smoky/hazy conditions. Although not common, atmospheric conditions occasionally allowed some of the high-level smoke to descend to the surface across our local area, reducing visibility to as low as a few miles and filling the air with a distinct odor.

GOES East Visible Satellite Image September 16, 2020
GOES East Visible Satellite Image October 5, 2020
GOES East Visible Satellite Image October 14, 2020

Worsening Drought Conditions (first developing during the summer and worsening in the fall)

The first several months of 2020 started out void of all drought concerns within south central Nebraska/north central Kansas, largely due to a notably-wet 2019. However, during the later spring and early summer, Abnormally Dry (D0) to localized Moderate Drought (D1) began showing up mainly near and south of the Nebraska-Kansas border, while a wet May kept drought at bay across most local counties. But then, rainfall patterns became quite interesting and highly-variable during June-July. Over the course of these two months, most northern, western and particularly southern portions of our coverage area received appreciable rainfall (especially during July), while in contrast, a handful of counties in the heart of south central Nebraska (particularly Kearney/Adams counties) kept missing out on one rain event after another, allowing Moderate Drought (D1) to take hold. Finally, August came around and nearly the ENTIRE 24-county area was dealt well-below-normal rain (most areas only 10-40 percent of the monthly normal). This lack of August rain, in tandem with a notably-hot nine-day stretch centered from Aug. 20-28 (highs in the 90s each day), finally prompted the introduction of Severe Drought (D2) to parts of south central Nebraska for the first time since early-2017 . As drier-than-normal conditions persisted into the fall season, drought conditions gradually worsened with time, with both D1 and D2 drought not only expanding across most of the area, but also allowing for the introduction of D3 Extreme Drought to southwestern local counties (such as Furnas/Gosper/Phelps/Harlan) in late-November. This marked the first instance of D3 in any portion of our coverage area since 2014!

Looking at some specific numbers for the four-month period covering August-November, the driest portions of our area (mainly within/near the D3 area) only measured about 15-25% of normal precipitation. A few of the very driest official NWS observer stations during this stretch included: Lexington 6SSE with 1.07" (driest on record), Elwood 8S with 1.47" (driest on record), Phillipsburg KS 1.88" (driest on record), Holdrege 2.18" (2nd-driest on record) and Minden 2.20" (driest on record).

Ending on a somewhat-positive note, while the final part of the year brought little-to-no improvement in official drought categories, a few rounds of beneficial moisture did arrive during November and the first half of December. Also, given that widespread drought conditions did not really materialize until later in the summer and fall, and that the first part of 2020 (and the entirety of the preceding few years) had been rather wet, there were no really no serious/noteworthy drought impacts within our coverage area during the year (such as devastating/widespread crop loss, major water shortages etc.), although some dryland crops and pastures did exhibit drought stress.

Drought Conditions September 3rd
Drought Conditions November 12th
Drought Conditions December 10th

2020 Climate Extremes

(data from NWS Cooperative & CocCoRaHs/NeRAIN observers)

** Please note: Information Below valid through Dec. 16...will be updated to reflect FINAL 2020 totals/extremes in early 2021. **

Hottest Temperatures

  • 104...Webster Dam KS (July 19) - Kirwin Dam KS (July 19)

  • 103...Plainville KS 4WNW (Sep 6)

  • 102...Smith Center KS (July 18)

  • 101...Hastings airport (July 18)

  • 100...Grand Island airport (July 18) - Franklin (July 18) - Harlan County Lake (July 18)

Coldest Temperatures

  • -14...Ord airport (Feb 20)

  • -12...Genoa 2W (Jan19)

  • -9...Greeley (Feb 20)

  • -8...Ravenna (Feb 20) - Oxford 6NNW (Feb 20)

  • -7...Gothenburg (Feb 20) - North Loup (Feb 20)

Highest Annual Precipitation ("normal" annual precip generally ranges from 23-30")

  • 36.92"...Hebron

  • 31.24"...Byron 4NNE

  • 29.19"...Hardy 4E

  • 29.11"...Scottsville KS 5SSW

  • 28.97"...Beloit KS

  • 28.26"...Deshler

  • 28.06"...Tobias 2WSW (extreme east edge of Fillmore County)

  • 27.38"...Natoma KS 7NNE

  • 27.28"...Beloit KS 10SSW

  • 26.69"...Superior

Lowest Annual Precipitation (only includes stations with no more than a few days of missing data)

  • 13.47"...Lexington 6SSE (Canaday Plant)

  • 14.58"...Elwood 8S

  • 15.81"...Oxford 6NNW

  • 15.88"...Lexington 1E

  • 16.16"...Cozad 4S

  • 16.31"...Hastings airport (6th-driest year on record out of 126)

  • 16.63"...Wilcox 6S

  • 16.96"...Kearney airport (10th-driest year on record out of 125)

  • 17.31"...Greeley

  • 17.65"...Loup City

Highest Calendar-Month Precipitation

  • 16.70"...Hebron (July)

  • 15.05"...Deshler (July)

  • 15.01"...Hardy 4E (July)

  • 14.75"...Byron 4NNE (July)

  • 13.23"...Superior (July)

  • 12.49"...Natoma KS 7NNE (July)

  • 12.01"...Hubbell (July)

  • 11.88"...Scottsville KS 5SSW (July)

  • 11.89"...Kenesaw 2W (May)

  • 11.26"...Formoso KS (July)

Highest 24-hour Rain Totals (for a roughly 7am-7am period ending on the specified date)

  • 6.72"...Covert KS (July 27)

  • 5.21"...Hebron 3W (July 27)

  • 5.10"...Roseland 4SSE (May 23)

  • 5.05"...Beloit KS 2ENE (June 27)

  • 4.98"...Hebron (July 27)

  • 4.62"...Natoma KS 7NNE (July 27)

  • 4.56"...Scottsville 5SSW (June 27)

  • 4.55"...Ayr 3NE (May 23)

  • 4.46"...Natoma KS (July 27)

  • 4.45"...Ord airport (July 20)

Highest Calendar-Month Snowfall

  • 12.0"...Ord 9NW (October)

  • 11.4"...Elyria 5SW (October)

  • 11.0"...Phillipsburg KS 6E (February)

  • 10.0"...Edison (February) - Spalding (October)

  • 9.5"...Bradshaw 6N (January) - Ord (October)

  • 9.0"...Elwood 8S (March) - Logan KS (February) - Kirwin Dam KS (February)

Highest Storm-Total Snowfall (defined as highest 1-2 day totals)

  • 9.2"...Phillipsburg KS 6E (Feb 25-26)

  • 8.1"...Phillipsburg KS (Feb 25-26) - Shelby 3NE (Dec 11-12)

  • 8.0"...Logan KS (Feb 25-26) - Edison (Feb 25-26) - Beaver City (Feb 25-26) - Holdrege 1E (Dec 11-12)

  • 7.5"...Grand Island 3SW (Dec 11-12)

  • 7.1"...Lexington 6SW (Feb 25-26)

  • 7.0"...Kirwin Dam KS (Feb 25-26)

Nebraska Tri-Cities Extremes and Totals (Grand Island, Hastings, and Kearney airports)

  • Hottest temperature: 101...Hastings (July 18)

  • Coldest temperature: -5...Hastings and Grand Island (Feb 20)

  • Highest daily rain total: 3.00"...Kearney
    (24-hour total ending 7am May 22)

  • Wettest calendar month: 7.48"...Grand Island (May)

  • Driest calendar month: 0.08"...Grand Island (October)

  • Snowiest calendar month: 6.4"...Grand Island (December)

  • Highest storm-total snow: 6.4"...Grand Island (Dec. 11-12)

  • Annual 2020 precipitation:
    - Grand Island: 22.51"

    (4.15" BELOW normal...38th-driest year on record out of 125)
    - Hastings: 16.31"
    (10.80" BELOW normal...6th-driest year on record out of 126)
    - Kearney: 16.96"
    (8.27" BELOW normal...10th-driest year on record out of 125)

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Please visit the following sites for a wealth of additional local climate information:- NOWData....official temp/precip/snow data for any NWS observation site in our coverage area- Daily/Monthly/Annual Precipitation Maps (maintained by NWS Hastings) - 24 to 72 hour Observed Snowfall Maps (maintained by NWS Hastings)- NWS Hastings Local Climate Page (various additional weather/climate info) - High Plains Regional Climate Center (HPRCC)...information for the entire High Plains region (not just our coverage area)

Recognizing Community Preparedness & Collaboration

By: Mike Moritz

StormReady

StormReady is a program designed to help communities, counties, universities and tribal communities better handle extreme weather by ensuring they meet specific communication and engagement requirements. Those requirements include: establishing a 24-hour warning point, reception and dissemination of critical weather information, community engagement and establishing a formal hazardous weather plan.

Unfortunately, being StormReady does not guarantee being “Storm Proof”. We all play a role in making our communities safe from hazardous weather. We hope you will take the time to learn about your community/county hazardous weather plan and thank your local Emergency Manager for his/her help in building a Weather-Ready Nation.

Check out his map of all the StormReady entities in the United states and territories.

Weather-Ready Nation Ambassadors

Not only does the NWS work closely with Emergency Management to promote preparedness, but also other government entities, businesses, academia and local organizations. Through a program called “Weather-Ready Nation Ambassadors”, the NWS has formed a cadre of over 6,000 organizations committed to building a Weather-Ready Nation (WRN).

What is a Weather-Ready Nation?
Building a WRN focuses on partners who are committed to the nation’s readiness, responsiveness and overall resilience against extreme weather, water and climate events. WRN partners commit to working with the NWS and effectively unifying preparedness efforts across government, academia, nonprofits and the business sector.

What do WRN Ambassadors do?
WRN Ambassadors agree to provide outreach content and explore innovative approaches for collaboration within their organizations.

Who can become a WRN Ambassador?
Any government, academia, nonprofit or private sector organization can become a WRN Ambassador. The program is specifically intended for organizations, not individuals.

For more information, visit the WRN Ambassadors website.

Fire Weather FAQ

By: Aaron Mangels

During the summer and fall of 2020 the U.S. has seen several record-breaking fires, primarily across the western states. These fires have burned millions of acres of land and cost billions of dollars. Each year, weather and climate are huge contributors to the fire behavior, and therefore the National Weather Service remains closely involved with providing forecasts and warnings for dangerous “fire weather” conditions.

Across the Hastings forecast area, conditions have not been this extreme, but we have still had a relatively active year with many “Red Flag Warning” days and several small wildfires. With the increasingly dry conditions, it is possible that this active fire pattern continues into 2021. With that in mind, it seems like a good idea to go through some Frequently Asked Questions...

What is a Red Flag Warning?

  • A Red Flag Warning is issued by National Weather Service offices when weather is expected to result in extreme fire behavior. In these cases, fires will start/spread rapidly and will be difficult to control or extinguish.

What type of weather is needed for a Red Flag Warning?

  • Typically, Red Flag Warnings are issued on hot, dry, and windy days. Exact criteria varies by region, but in this area it is traditionally defined by multiple hours of relative humidity of 20% or lower and winds of 20 MPH or higher.

What can I do to minimize the threat for wildfires?

  • Not all wildfires can be prevented, but many are indeed human-caused. Be cautious whenever working with fire outdoors. This may include campfires, burning trees, etc. In addition, be aware of other activities that could easily start a fire (discarding cigarettes, operating machinery, dragging towing chains, welding, fireworks, etc)

What about prescribed fire or controlled burning?

  • Prescribed fires are set intentionally for grassland restoration, invasive species control, or forest management. The National Weather Service supports these goals by providing site-specific forecasts and providing weather training to our partners.

How else is the National Weather Service involved with fire?

  • Many offices have one or more incident meteorologists (IMET) on staff. These meteorologists are oftentimes sent across the country to remote locations to provide specific weather observations, forecasts, and outlooks for wildfires or other incidents.

  • NOAA satellites (GOES 16 and GOES 17) provide a high resolution image of the country every 5 minutes (and sometimes as frequently as every 1 minute). These images can be used to pinpoint new wildfires even before anyone reports them on the ground. GOES-16 vs. GOES-13 Shortwave Infrared of Grass Fires in Florida

  • Local offices routinely provide a Fire Weather Planning Forecasts (FWF) as a general overview of fire weather conditions of the upcoming days.

  • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) produces generalized fire weather outlooks for the entire country.

What else impacts fire weather?

  • Fires also require a fuel source to burn. In central Nebraska and Kansas, fuels are primarily grasses that are typically most susceptible to fire during the early spring and late fall. This varies year-to-year based on drought conditions and temperatures. Topography also plays a role in fire danger. Most of the local area is relatively flat, but increasing slopes of western Nebraska and Kansas can lead to more erratic fire behavior.

How common are red flag warnings?

  • Across our 30-county forecast area, we have on-average about 14 Red Flag days per year. Of course this varies widely by year. In 2019, we only had 1 day, but in 2020, we have had well over 20 days as of December 1st. Due to the typically drier air, Red Flag Warnings are more common over western portions of Nebraska and Kansas than in the east.

It was really windy and/or dry earlier this year and we were not under a Red Flag Warning. Why?

  • On many days conditions are close, but not quite extreme enough to warrant a Red Flag Warning. Typically, we refer to these days as “near-critical,” and we often highlight this threat in forecast discussions, hazardous weather outlooks, and on social media.

  • The smoke produced from fires also impacts air quality in many situations. The thickness and track of this smoke is highly impacted by winds throughout the atmosphere. NOAA and the National Weather Service provide data and tools to help track this smoke and its impacts. Oftentimes, meteorologists will provide insight and guidance to local officials on air quality alerts for local cities/towns.

  • To get more information about fire weather in the local area, go to weather.gov/gid/fire

How do we Record and Archive Weather Events?

By: Angela Pfannkuch

Ever been curious to learn more about a historical event?

Did you know there is a database you can access to learn more about that event?

This database & monthly publication, known as Storm Data & Unusual Weather Phenomena, is maintained by the National Centers For Environmental Information (NCEI). Each month, National Weather Service (NWS) offices around the country gather information about events in their coverage area, writing up summaries and narratives to give more background information. Events such as flooding, tornadoes, ice storms, high winds and drought are just a few examples of what is included. Did you know that Storm Data contains information going back as far as January 1950?

Tell me where I can find this information!

Check out the Storm Events Database here: www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/

Once you’re here, select your area of interest. Then you’ll be able to narrow your focus down if you so choose. Pick your date, the county (or leave “--ALL--” selected for the entire state), and event type…and you’re good to go! The next page will give you a more detailed breakdown, and you can click on individual entries for even more information (if it’s available)!

You can also download the full-U.S. version of the Storm Data publication here (NCEI subscription needed): www.ncdc.noaa.gov/IPS/sd/sd.html

So where does the NWS get the information (hail size, wind speed, snowfall, etc.) for this database?

It could be from YOU!

The NWS receives their information from a variety of sources, which include but are not limited to: county, state and federal emergency management officials, local law enforcement officials, Skywarn spotters, NWS damage surveys, television/radio/print media, and the general public. Another source that has really grown as a valuable asset for information in the past several years - Facebook and Twitter!

At NWS Hastings, we try our best to verify each warning that is issued from our office. You might have received a phone call from our office, asking anything from “What size of hail fell?” to “How much snow did you measure?”. Getting information about what a severe thunderstorm is producing or how much snow is falling under a heavy snow band helps us improve our warnings and forecasts.

You may wonder “How do you get phone numbers?”. Every year from late February to early April, we hold a storm spotter class in each county. We ask for volunteers who we can call and get weather information, and we count on them to call us as well. On a less frequent basis, we will get out the ol’ rural directory and call folks who appear to be under the highest threat of severe weather! We promise, we’re not selling anything. :)

Are you willing to be someone we can call for a weather report?

We are always looking for folks to help us out with weather reports - especially in rural portions of a county! If you are interested, email us at nws.hastings@noaa.gov. All we would need is your name, your phone number, and where you are located (this information would be shared with NO ONE outside of our office).

2020 Hydrology and
Drought Recap

By: Jeremy Wesely

Overall it was a dry summer with expanding drought as we headed through the summer and fall months. However, there were a few big rainfall events that resulted in flooding that we’ll take a look at...


Starting with the May 21-25th Heavy Rainfall and Flooding

June & July 2020 (Dry I-80 from Kearney to Hastings, wet northern Kansas to Hebron)

Those that saw good rains in June, such as north central Kansas northeast into Hebron, saw good rains again in July. However, those that were largely missed by the better rains in June, especially from around Kearney to Hastings, were missed again in July. The rains were even heavy enough across north central Kansas to result in noteworthy flooding in some places. See pictures below of flooding on June 27th, 2020 from the Solomon river in Beloit’s Chautauqua Park.

Developing Drought From Late Spring Through Autumn

As we headed into April we were still carrying an abundance of excess subsurface moisture from our very wet year in 2019. However, we began to rack up rainfall deficits during the April through June period resulting in large swaths of abnormally dry conditions across our forecast area. Most areas saw some improvement in July with near normal to above normal precipitation. However, the very dry conditions returned by August with below normal rainfall, which continued each month through October. Consequently, the severity and coverage of drought conditions expanded not only across our forecast area but across most of the region.