Publications

Cultural Change as Learning: The Evolution of Female Labor Force Participation over a Century
American Economic Review, forthcoming.

Women’s labor force participation has increased dramatically over the last century. Why this has occurred has been the subject of much debate. This paper investigates the role of culture as learning in this change. To do so, it develops a dynamic model of culture in which individuals hold heterogeneous beliefs regarding the relative long-run payoffs for women who work in the market versus the home. These beliefs evolve rationally via an intergenerational learning process. Women are assumed to learn about the long-term payoffs of working by observing (noisy) private and public signals. They then make a work decision. This process generically generates an S-shaped figure for female labor force participation, which is what is found in the data. The S shape results from the dynamics of learning. When either small or large proportions of women work, learning is very slow and the changes in female labor force participation are also small. When the proportion of women working is close to 50%, rapid learning and rapid changes in female LFP take place. I calibrate the model to several key statistics and show that it does a very good job in replicating the quantitative evolution of female labor force participation in the US over the last 120 years. The model highlights a new dynamic role for changes in wages via their effect on intergenerational learning. The calibration shows that this role was quantitatively important in several decades.
Does Culture Matter?
in, J. Benhabib, M. O. Jackson and A. Bisin, editors, Handbook of Social Economics, Vol. 1A, North-Holland, 2011
This paper reviews the literature on culture and economics, focusing primarily on the epidemiological approach. The epidemiological approach studies the variation in outcomes across different immigrant groups residing in the same country. Immigrants presumably differ in their cultures but share a common institutional and economic environment. This allows one to separate the effect of culture from the original economic and institutional environment. This approach has been used to study a variety of issues, including female labor force participaiton, fertility, labor market regulation, redistribution, growth, and financial development among others.

Culture: An Empirical Investigation of Beliefs, Work, and Fertility with A. Fogli
Published in American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2009.

We study the effect of culture on economic outcomes by examining the work and fertility behavior of second-generation American women. We instrument culture with past female labor force participation and total fertility rates from the woman's country of ancestry. These variables should capture, in addition to past economic and institutional conditions, the preferences and beliefs commonly held about women's role and ideal family size. Given the different time and place, only the preferences and beliefs embodied in the cultural proxies should be potentially relevant to women's work and fertility behavior. We show that the cultural proxies have positive and significant explanatory power for individual work and fertility outcomes, even after controlling for possible indirect effects of culture (e.g., education and spousal characteristics). We examine alternative hypotheses for these positive correlations and show that unobserved human capital, at the individual level or embodied in the ethnic network, is not likely to be responsible. We also show that the effect of culture is amplified for ethnic groups that tend to cluster in the same neighborhoods.

Culture and Economics
New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition, 2008

Diversity and Redistribution with G. Levy
Published in Journal of Public Economics, 2008

In this paper we analyze the interaction of income and preference heterogeneity in a political economy framework. We ask whether the presence of preference heterogeneity (arising, for example, from different ethnic groups or geographic locations) affects the ability of the poor to extract resources from the rich. We study the equilibrium of a game in which coalitions of individuals form parties, parties propose platforms, and all individuals vote, with the winning policy chosen by plurality. Political parties are restricted to offering platforms that are credible (in that they belong to the Pareto set of their members). The platforms specify the values of two policy tools: a general redistributive tax which is lumpsum rebated (or used to fund a general public good) and a series of taxes whose revenue is used to fund specific (targeted) goods tailored to particular preferences or localities. Our analysis demonstrates that taste conflict first dilutes but later reinforces class interests. When the degree of taste diversity is low, the equilibrium policy is characterized by some amount of general income redistribution and some targeted transfers. As taste diversity increases in society, the set of equilibrium policies becomes more and more tilted towards special interest groups and against general redistribution. As diversity increases further, however, the only policy that can emerge supports exclusively general redistribution.

Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, 2007
This paper discusses some recent advances in the area of culture and economics and examines the effect of culture on a key economic outcome: female labor supply. To separate the effect of market variables and institutions from culture, I use an epidemiological approach, studying second-generation American women. I use both female LFP and attitudes in the women’s country of ancestry as cultural proxies and show that both cultural proxies have quantitatively significant effects on women’s work outcomes. The paper concludes with some suggestions for future empirical and theoretical research topics in this area.

Fertility: The Role of Culture and Family Experience with A. Fogli
Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, 2006

This paper attempts to disentangle the direct effects of experience from those of culture in determining fertility. We use the GSS to examine the fertility of women born in the US but from different ethnic backgrounds. We take lagged values of the total fertility rate in the woman’s country of ancestry as the cultural proxy and use the woman’s number of siblings to capture her direct family experience. We find that both variables are significant determinants of fertility, even after controlling for several individual and family-level characteristics.
Comments on Globalization and the Returns to Speaking English
in, A. Harrison, editor, Globalization and Poverty, University of Chicago Press, 2007

Socially Responsible Trade Integration
in Bourguignon, François, Boris Pleskovic, and André Sapir, eds,  Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics---Europe: Are We on Track to Achieve the Millennium Development Goals. World Bank: Washington, D.C.; New York: Oxford University Press, 2005
 
Love and Money: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of Household Sorting and Inequality with N. Guner and J. Knowles
Published in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2005

This paper examines the interactions between household formation, inequality, and per capita income. We develop a model in which agents decide to become skilled or unskilled and form households. We show that the equilibrium sorting of spouses by skill type (their correlation in skills) is an increasing function of the skill premium. In the absence of perfect capital markets, the economy can converge to different steady states, depending upon initial conditions. The degree of marital sorting and wage inequality is positively correlated across steady states and negatively correlated with per capita income. We use household surveys from 34 countries to construct several measures of the skill premium and of the degree of correlation of spouses’ education (marital sorting). For all our measures, we find a positive and significant relationship between the two variables. We also find that sorting and per capita GDP are negatively correlated and that greater discrimination against women leads to more sorting, in line with the predictions of our model.

Mothers and Sons: Preference Formation and Female Labor Force Dynamics with A. Fogli and C. Olivetti
This paper contains material from both "Marrying your Mom" and "Preference Formation" (see above)
Published in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2004
This paper argues that the growing presence of a new type of man–one brought up in a family in which the mother worked–has been a significant factor in the increase in female labor force participation over time. We present cross-sectional evidence showing that the wives of men whose mothers worked are themselves significantly more likely to work. We use variation in the importance of WWII as a shock to women’s labor force participation–as proxied by variation in the male draft rate across US states–to provide evidence in support of the intergenerational consequences of our propagation mechanism.

Equity and Resources: An Analysis of Education Finance Systems with R. Rogerson
Published in Journal of Political Economy, 2003

We analyze five education finance systems: local, State, foundation, power equalizing with recapture (PER) and power equalizing without recapture (PEN). In a calibrated model, we find that finance systems have large effects on educational resources and equity. The trade-off between equity and resources, however, is not monotone. Ranking systems by expected utility, we find that PER consistently ranks highest, though it provides fewer resources to education than the foundation and PEN systems, and is less equitable than a state system. We prove that for an important subset of preferences, PER will win in majority voting comparisons with the other systems.

Household Formation, Inequality, and the Macroeconomy
Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, 2003

This paper examines how family structure can influence the macroeconomy. It uses a simple model where the key features are taken as exogenous and shows that the sorting of individuals into families can have important quantitative effects on human capital formation, inequality and income. It then discusses how these features can be endogenized and suggests avenues for future research.
Sorting, Education and Inequality
Chapter in Advances in Economics and Econometrics, Dewatripont, Hansen, and Turnovsky (Eds.), Cambridge University Press, 2003.
Chapter in The Economics of School Choice, ed. C. Hoxby, University of Chicago Press, 2003.

Comment on the Injustice of Inequality
Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003
 
This paper presents a model of the intergenerational transmission of education and marital sorting. Parents matter both because of their household income and because their human capital determines the distribution of a child’s disutility from making an effort to become skilled. We show that an increase in segregation has potentially ambiguous effects on the proportion of individuals that become skilled in the steady state, and hence on marital sorting, the personal and household income distribution, and welfare. We calibrate the steady-state of our model to UK statistics We find that an increase in the correlation of spouses in their years of education will bring about a small increase in the proportion of skilled individuals when the relative supply of skilled individuals is variable at the family level and a decrease when this supply is fixed. Ex ante utility (of an unborn individual) increases in the first case and decreases in the second. The welfare effect of increased sorting is negative for unskilled individuals and positive for skilled individuals. Increased segregation always leads to an increase in welfare inequality between skilled and unskilled individuals.

Sorting and Long-Run Inequality with R. Rogerson
Published in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2001

Many social commentators have raised concerns over the possibility that increased sorting in society may lead to greater inequality. To investigate this, we construct a dynamic model of intergenerational education acquisition, fertility and marital sorting and parameterize the steady state to match several basic empirical findings. We find that increased sorting will significantly increase income inequality. Four factors are important to our findings: a negative correlation between fertility and education, a decreasing marginal effect of parental education on children’s years of education, wages that are sensitive to the relative supply of skilled workers, and borrowing constraints that affect educational attainment for some low income households
The Determinants of Public Education Expenditures: Longer-Run Evidence From the States, 1950-1990 with R. Rogerson
Published in Journal of Education Finance, 2001
 
Published in Review of Economic Studies, 1999
 
Education Finance Reform and Investment in Human Capital: Lessons From California with R. Rogerson
Published in Journal of Public Economics, 1999
 
Debt Concentration and Secondary Market Prices with S. Ozler
Published in International Economic Review, 1999
 
Comments on Boldrin et al. ‘The future of pensions in Europe’
Published in Economic Policy, 1999

Comment on Bagwell and Staiger
in Market Integration, Regionalism and the Global Economy, eds. Richard Baldwin, Daniel Cohen, Andre Sapir, and Anthony Venables, Cambridge University Press, 1999

Income Distribution and Public Education: A Dynamic Quantitative Analysis of School Finance Reform with R. Rogerson
Published in American Economic Review, 1998
Reprinted in Income Distribution, edited by M. Sattinger, in the series: The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by M. Blaug, forthcoming.

Commitment, Signaling, and Insurance: An Analysis of Non-Traditional Gains from RTAs
Regionalism and Development, European Commission Studies Series, 1998

Returns to Regionalism: An Evaluation of Non-Traditional Gains from RTAs with J. Portes
Published in World Bank Economic Review, 1998

Odd Versus Even: Comparative Statics in Multicommunity Models
Published in 
Journal of Public Economics, 1997

Education Finance Reform: A Dynamic Perspective with R. Rogerson
Published in J
ournal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1997

Keeping People Out: Income Distribution, Zoning and the Quality of Public Education with R. Rogerson
Published in 
International Economic Review, 38, 1997

Income Distribution, Communities and the Quality of Public Education with R. Rogerson
Published in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1996

Zoning and the Political Economy of Local Redistribution with R. Rogerson
Published in Cuadernos Economicos, 1996

On the Political Economy of Education Subsidies with R. Rogerson
Published in 
Review of Economic Studies, 1995

Sovereign Debt with J. Eaton
Chapter in
Handbook of International Economics, vol. 3, G. Grossman and K. Rogoff, editors. North Holland, 1995.

Book Review of “Private Lending to Sovereign States,” by Daniel Cohen
Published in
Journal of International Economics, 1992.

Terms of Trade Uncertainty, Incomplete Markets and Unemployment
Published in International Economic Review, 1992

Bank Heterogeneity, Reputation and Debt Renegotiation with D. Kaaret
Published in
International Economic Review, 1992

Resistance to Reform: Status Quo Bias in the Presence of Individual-Specific Uncertainty  with D. Rodrik
Published in American Economic Review, 1991
Reprinted in T. Persson and G. Tabellini, Eds., Monetary and Fiscal Policy, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1994.|
Reprinted in F. Sturzenegger and M. Tommasi, Eds., The Political Economy of Reform, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998.

Striking for a Bargain Between Two Completely Informed Agents with J. Glazer
Published in American Economic Review, 1991

El Espacio para el Comportamiento Solidario Entre los Paises Deudores
Published in El Trimestre Economico, 1990
Spanish translation of “The Scope for Collusive Behavior Among Debtor Countries

The Scope for Collusive Behavior Among Debtor Countries with J. Glazer
Published in
Journal of Development Economics, 1990

Strategic Models of Sovereign-Debt Renegotiation with R. Rosenthal
Published in R
eview of Economic Studies, 1990

Comment on ‘Industrial Wage Differential, International Competition and Trade Policy’ by L. Katz and L. Summers
In Trade Policies for International Competitiveness, edited by R. Feenstra, 1989, University of Chicago Press.