Cultural Change as Learning: The Evolution of Female Labor Force Participation over a Century Women’s labor force participation has increased dramatically over the last century. Why this has occurred has been the subject of much debate. This paper investigates the role of culture as learning in this change. To do so, it develops a dynamic model of culture in which individuals hold heterogeneous beliefs regarding the relative long-run payoffs for women who work in the market versus the home. These beliefs evolve rationally via an intergenerational learning process. Women are assumed to learn about the long-term payoffs of working by observing (noisy) private and public signals. They then make a work decision. This process generically generates an S-shaped figure for female labor force participation, which is what is found in the data. The S shape results from the dynamics of learning. When either small or large proportions of women work, learning is very slow and the changes in female labor force participation are also small. When the proportion of women working is close to 50%, rapid learning and rapid changes in female LFP take place. I calibrate the model to several key statistics and show that it does a very good job in replicating the quantitative evolution of female labor force participation in the US over the last 120 years. The model highlights a new dynamic role for changes in wages via their effect on intergenerational learning. The calibration shows that this role was quantitatively important in several decades.Does Culture Matter? in, J. Benhabib, M. O. Jackson and A. Bisin, editors, Handbook of Social Economics, Vol. 1A, North-Holland, 2011
Culture: An Empirical Investigation of Beliefs, Work, and Fertility with A. Fogli We study the effect of culture on economic outcomes by examining the work and fertility behavior of second-generation American women. We instrument culture with past female labor force participation and total fertility rates from the woman's country of ancestry. These variables should capture, in addition to past economic and institutional conditions, the preferences and beliefs commonly held about women's role and ideal family size. Given the different time and place, only the preferences and beliefs embodied in the cultural proxies should be potentially relevant to women's work and fertility behavior. We show that the cultural proxies have positive and significant explanatory power for individual work and fertility outcomes, even after controlling for possible indirect effects of culture (e.g., education and spousal characteristics). We examine alternative hypotheses for these positive correlations and show that unobserved human capital, at the individual level or embodied in the ethnic network, is not likely to be responsible. We also show that the effect of culture is amplified for ethnic groups that tend to cluster in the same neighborhoods. Culture and Economics Diversity and Redistribution with G. Levy
Published in Journal of Public Economics, 2008
Published in Journal of the European Economic Association, 2007
This paper discusses some recent advances in the area of culture and economics and examines the effect of culture on a key economic outcome: female labor supply. To separate the effect of market variables and institutions from culture, I use an epidemiological approach, studying second-generation American women. I use both female LFP and attitudes in the women’s country of ancestry as cultural proxies and show that both cultural proxies have quantitatively significant effects on women’s work outcomes. The paper concludes with some suggestions for future empirical and theoretical research topics in this area. Fertility: The Role of Culture and Family Experience with A. Fogli
Comments on Globalization and the Returns to Speaking English
in, A. Harrison, editor, Globalization and Poverty, University of Chicago Press, 2007 Socially Responsible Trade Integration in Bourguignon, François, Boris Pleskovic, and André Sapir, eds, Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics---Europe: Are We on Track to Achieve the Millennium Development Goals. World Bank: Washington, D.C.; New York: Oxford University Press, 2005 Love and Money: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of Household Sorting and Inequality with N. Guner and J. Knowles
Published in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2005
Mothers and Sons: Preference Formation and Female Labor Force Dynamics with A. Fogli and C. Olivetti
This paper contains material from both "Marrying your Mom" and "Preference Formation" (see above) Published in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2004
Equity and Resources: An Analysis of Education Finance Systems with R. Rogerson We analyze five education finance systems: local, State, foundation, power equalizing with recapture (PER) and power equalizing without recapture (PEN). In a calibrated model, we find that finance systems have large effects on educational resources and equity. The trade-off between equity and resources, however, is not monotone. Ranking systems by expected utility, we find that PER consistently ranks highest, though it provides fewer resources to education than the foundation and PEN systems, and is less equitable than a state system. We prove that for an important subset of preferences, PER will win in majority voting comparisons with the other systems. Household Formation, Inequality, and the Macroeconomy
Sorting, Education and Inequality
Chapter in Advances in Economics and Econometrics, Dewatripont, Hansen, and Turnovsky (Eds.), Cambridge University Press, 2003. School Vouchers as a Redistributive Device: An Analysis of Three Alternative Systems with Richard Rogerson Chapter in The Economics of School Choice, ed. C. Hoxby, University of Chicago Press, 2003.
Comment on the Injustice of Inequality Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003 Education, Segregation, and Marital Sorting: Theory and Application to the UK
Published in European Economic Review, 2002 This paper presents a model of the intergenerational transmission of education and marital sorting. Parents matter both because of their household income and because their human capital determines the distribution of a child’s disutility from making an effort to become skilled. We show that an increase in segregation has potentially ambiguous effects on the proportion of individuals that become skilled in the steady state, and hence on marital sorting, the personal and household income distribution, and welfare. We calibrate the steady-state of our model to UK statistics We find that an increase in the correlation of spouses in their years of education will bring about a small increase in the proportion of skilled individuals when the relative supply of skilled individuals is variable at the family level and a decrease when this supply is fixed. Ex ante utility (of an unborn individual) increases in the first case and decreases in the second. The welfare effect of increased sorting is negative for unskilled individuals and positive for skilled individuals. Increased segregation always leads to an increase in welfare inequality between skilled and unskilled individuals.
Sorting and Long-Run Inequality with R. Rogerson
The Determinants of Public Education Expenditures: Longer-Run Evidence From the States, 1950-1990 with R. Rogerson
Published in Journal of Education Finance, 2001
To Each According to ...? Tournaments, Markets and the Matching Problem Under Borrowing Constraints with J. Gali
Published in Review of Economic Studies, 1999
Education Finance Reform and Investment in Human Capital: Lessons From California with R. Rogerson
Published in Journal of Public Economics, 1999 Debt Concentration and Secondary Market Prices with S. Ozler
Published in International Economic Review, 1999 Comments on Boldrin et al. ‘The future of pensions in Europe’
Published in Economic Policy, 1999 Comment on Bagwell and Staiger Income Distribution and Public Education: A Dynamic Quantitative Analysis of School Finance Reform with R. Rogerson Commitment, Signaling, and Insurance: An Analysis of Non-Traditional Gains from RTAs Returns to Regionalism: An Evaluation of Non-Traditional Gains from RTAs with J. Portes Odd Versus Even: Comparative Statics in Multicommunity Models Education Finance Reform: A Dynamic Perspective with R. Rogerson Keeping People Out: Income Distribution, Zoning and the Quality of Public Education with R. Rogerson Income Distribution, Communities and the Quality of Public Education with R. Rogerson Zoning and the Political Economy of Local Redistribution with R. Rogerson On the Political Economy of Education Subsidies with R. Rogerson Sovereign Debt with J. Eaton Book Review of “Private Lending to Sovereign States,” by Daniel Cohen Terms of Trade Uncertainty, Incomplete Markets and Unemployment Bank Heterogeneity, Reputation and Debt Renegotiation with D. Kaaret Resistance to Reform: Status Quo Bias in the Presence of Individual-Specific Uncertainty with D. Rodrik Striking for a Bargain Between Two Completely Informed Agents with J. Glazer El Espacio para el Comportamiento Solidario Entre los Paises Deudores
Published in El Trimestre Economico, 1990 Spanish translation of “The Scope for Collusive Behavior Among Debtor Countries The Scope for Collusive Behavior Among Debtor Countries with J. Glazer Strategic Models of Sovereign-Debt Renegotiation with R. Rosenthal Comment on ‘Industrial Wage Differential, International Competition and Trade Policy’ by L. Katz and L. Summers |