Published"The Relevance of Self-Locating Beliefs" (Philosophical Review 117 (2008): 555–605.) Formalizes and expands the traditional Bayesian framework for modeling agents' rational degrees of belief to apply to cases involving context-sensitive beliefs. Along the way, it offers a solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem and defends that solution from alternate accounts. "What Would a Rawlsian Ethos of Justice Look Like?" (Philosophy & Public Affairs 36 (2008): 289–322.)* A response to G. A. Cohen's argument that a prevailing "ethos" of justice would prevent a Rawlsian just society from having any income inequalities. I suggest that Cohen's argument fails because a Rawlsian ethos would involve correlates of both of Rawls' principles of justice. Review of David Christensen's Putting Logic in its Place (Mind 117 (2008): 677–681.) Unpublished"Not Enough There There: Reasons, Evidence, and Language Invariance" "Tell Me You Love Me: Reliabilism, Induction, and Being Told What You Want to Hear" "Contractualism, Chances, and Aggregation" I propose a new way for a Scanlonian contractualist to argue that, when faced with a situation in which a number of people are threatened with the same level of harm, you should save as many people as possible from that harm. The argument draws on a principle Sophia Reibetanz has defended for managing cases involving the chance of harm. "Unlearning What You Have Learned" I apply my extended, formal Bayesian framework to cases in which agents forget or face the threat of forgetting. Along the way I treat Frank Arntzenius' "Shangri La" problem, van Fraassen's Reflection Principle, and Adam Elga's "guru" principle. "Feigning Indifference" Here I propose a new argument for a principle of indifference among subjectively indistinguishable centered worlds. I compare my proposal to Adam Elga's, defend it from objections by Brian Weatherson, then consider how it applies to Everettian interpretations of quantum mechanics. "An Infinitesimal Addition to Certain Frustration" A brief response to Alan Hájek's Cable Guy Paradox. DissertationQuitting Certainties: A Doxastic Modeling Framework (my UC Berkeley PhD dissertation) Presents a unified Bayesian framework that models changing rational degrees of belief in situations involving memory loss and context-sensitivity. [Page last modified 11/08.] * Some legaleze required by the publisher: This is an electronic version of an article published in Philosophy & Public Affairs. Complete citation information for the final version of the paper, as published in the print edition of Philosophy & Public Affairs, is available on the Blackwell Synergy online delivery service, accessible via the journal’s website at www.blackwellpublishing.com/papa or http://www.blackwell-synergy.com. |