Progress Earth Systems —Vision 2040 Anthropogenic changes to Earth's land surface, oceans, coasts and atmosphere and to biological diversity, the water cycle and biogeochemical cycles are clearly identifiable beyond natural variability. Lovelock, now in his 90s, has come to think Gaia's self-regulation strong enough to retain life although, by 2040, the world population of more than six billion will have been culled by floods, drought and famine. Parts of the Sahara desert will have moved into middle Europe, where every summer will be between 110F and 120F with no food grown there. The New Economics Foundation—economics as if people matter Discordant harmonies—Daniel Botkin— the environment and people's connection to it (yes, that Al Runte, google him) Redefining Progress— an Interview with UBC's Professor William Rees, Summer, 2008 Ruining our Cities to Save Them—The Consumption Atlas—New City Journal, March, 2010 Finding Solutions that Don't Grow the Problem Creating Defensible Space Before his death in 2004, Oscar Newman put on-line for all to use this 1996 account of his experiences recapturing defensible space. The year of his first book was 1972. How time flies. Effects of Urban Development on Floods, U.S.Geological Survey Fact Sheet 076-03 Disaster Management or Sustainable Infrastructure? Seattle's 2006 storm —a cautionary tale about the need for reframing. "It's All Dumb Growth— if it merely devolves into an anti-greenfield campaign" Andres Duany—November, 2006 (old, tad simplistic—good though) design for individuality vs. design for a sense of place design for high speed vs. design for the public realm See Short Version below. The Community Preservation Act of Massachusetts Boston voters opted out of this bottom-up approach to "smart growth" commencing with Build-out Analysis (optional buy-in can be a pitfall). Nevertheless, when the focus is on growing citizens the entire nation benefits. Build-out Analysis Overzoning metropolitan cities, i.e., Seattle, not just exurbia, produces unintended consequences. Washington's Growth Management Act takes a top down approach and requires comparison of buildable lands with projected growth every five years. Alas, our Buildable Lands Reports are far from teachable moments. Compare: Design Principles of Neighborhoods and Towns G. Ferrell, not dated. Infill Townhouse Design Guidelines, City of Toronto, very interesting Believable Transit | Checking Reality Checks Official Population Estimates—Office of Financial Management, State of Washington, April 2011 Vision 2040's Percent-of-Region Strategy—Puget Sound Regional Council, Spring, 2008 new percent-of-region targets, table and prose formats— pages 21 through 35 For Puget Sound Regional Council's response see Appendix II-A 2000-2007 Trends vs Regional Growth Strategy here:  |