Publications

• "The Persistent Colombian Conflict: Subnational Analysis of the Duration of Violence" Defense and Peace Economics (forthcoming).
• "Sovereign Risk and Armed Conflict: An Event-study for Colombia" Defense and Peace Economics (forthcoming) (with A. Castañeda).
• "Violence and Growth in Colombia: A Review of the Quantitative Literature" (with A. Riascos) The Economics of Peace and Security Journal Vol. 6(2): 15-20.
• "Combatant Recruitment and the Outcome of War" Economics of Governance Vol. 12(1): 51-74 (with A. S. Mahmud).
• "Rebellion, Repression and Welfare", Defense and Peace Economics (forthcoming).
• "The Severity of the Colombian Conflict Cross-Country Datasets versus New Micro Data" Journal of Peace Research 43(1): 99-115 (with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat) (replication data)
• “The Dynamics of the Colombian Civil Conflict: A New Data Set” Homo Oeconomicus 21(2): 396-428, 2004 (with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat)
• "The Democratic Security Policy, Police Presence and Armed Conflict in Colombia" (in Spanish, with D. Cortés, M. Franco and L. Hincapié)

Book chapters

• "Costs of the Conflict and Economic Considerations for Peacebuilding", forthcoming in Rettberg, A. (Ed.) Peacebuilding in Colombia, Uniandes, Bogotá (in Spanish)
• “The Colombian Conflict: Who did What to Whom? A Quantitative Approach (1988-2003)" in Gutierrez, F. (Ed.) Our Nameless War. Norma-Vitral, Bogota, 2006 (in Spanish, with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat)

Working Papers

• "Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" (with O. Dube) Revise and resubmit: The Review of Economic Studies

See Ray Fisman's review of the paper in Slate

Dani Rodrik also wrote a nice comment in his blog

The paper is also mentioned in a recent VOX commentary, about the debate on whether poverty causes conflict or vice-versa

• "Learning How (Not) to Fire a Gun: Combatant Training and Civilian Victimization" (with B. Oppenheim and M. Weintraub)
• "Beyond Divide and Rule: Weak Dictators, Natural Resources and Civil Conflict" (with G. De Luca and P. Sekeris)
• "Empowering IDP with SMS: A Randomized controlled trial in Bogotá" (with M. Blanco)
• "Military Empowerment and Civilian Targeting in Civil War"

• "The Need for Enemies (with L. Fergusson, J. Robinson and R. Torvik)
• "The Politics of Resource Booms" (with A. S. Mahmud and G. De Luca)
• "Don't Make War, Make Elections: Franchise Extensions and Violence in XIXth Century Colombia" (with L. Fergusson, D. Salazar, G. Vesga)
• "The Rich-poor Divide, Within-groups Inequality and Armed Conflict" (with L. Fergusson)
• "On the Causal Effect of Civil War on Economic Growth" (with P. Rodriguez)
• "Aspirations Failure and Conflict Endurance" (with P. Justino and C. Müller)
• "Words versus Bullets: Media and Democracy with Coercion" (with L. Fergusson and M. Vela)
• "Institutions, Natural Resources and Conflict" (with D. Romero and R. Torvik)
• "The Impact of the `War on Drugs' on Illegal Crop Production and Violence: The case of Plan Colombia" (with A. Abadie, M. Acevedo and M. Kugler)

Other Publications

• "Aprender a Disparar vs. Aprender a Quién Disparar", Focoeconomico.org, January 2012
• "Cambiando armas por votos" Focoeconomico.org, October 2011
• "Tres huevitos en una sartén con teflón" Focoeconomico.org, September 2011
• "Los incentivos perversos de los buenos políticos" Focoeconomico.org, July 2011
• "La luz del sol ¿El mejor desinfectante?" Focoeconomico.org, March 2011
• “El Lado Oscuro de la Fuerza. In Memoriam, Jack Hirshleifer (1925-2005)" Webpondo.org, September 2005
•  "Understanding Civil Wars: We Need Better Data" Economists for Peace and Security Newsletter, December 2004
•  “¿Cuanto sabemos sobre las guerras Civiles?” Webpondo.org, October 2004
• "Violence and Growth in Colombia: A Brief Review of the Literature" Webpondo.org, January 2004 (with A Riascos)
• “Dolarizar, Flotar, Callar” Webpondo.org, April 2003 (L Fergusson)
• “Equilibrio Competitivo en Economía, Lecciones de la Epistemología de la Física” Webpondo.org, July 2003
• “Políticas Públicas Focalizadas o Universales ¿Dilema?” Webpondo.org, January 2003