Chapter 1
Investment
The
commitment of current resources (time, money, etc.) with the expectation of
enhanced future benefits. In FIL 242, an
investment is typically financial in nature requiring the purchase of a
security in exchange for claims on the assets of the issuing company.
Direct vs. indirect investments
In a direct
investment, the supplier of funds and the user of funds interact directly.
Excess funds from households funnel directly to the user of funds while the
security created exchanges hands from the issuing company directly to the
investor.
With
indirect investments, a direct exchange between suppliers and users of funds is
compromised. A financial intermediary, such as a bank or mutual fund, is placed
between the originator of the security and the ultimate supplier of the funds. During
intermediation, the security held by individual households, who are supplying
funds, is different from the security held by the intermediary.
Example: Mutual funds buy shares directly in
companies like IBM, Microsoft, and Caterpillar, but individuals buy
shares of the mutual fund.
Debt
Debtholders
have a fixed claim on the income and the assets of the borrower. A contract
establishes the size of the claim held by the lender. Debtholders get paid before equityholders do.
Equity
Equity
represents partial ownership in a corporation. Equityholders have claim to the
residual value of income and assets of a company.
Investment policy statement (IPS)
IPS is the written
document that guides investors in decision making. It is frequently used by professional money
managers to describe the requirements of the investor (client) and the strategies
which manager is going to use to fulfill those requirements. Important
components of the investment policy statement include asset allocation and
security selection decisions, as well as recognizing any specific constraints.
Asset allocation
Asset
allocation is the broad proportions of asset classes that comprise the portfolio of an
investor. Typical asset categories include stock, bonds, real estate, international investments, and cash.
Example: 50% of the portfolio invested in stock, 30% invested in bonds, 10% in real estate, 5% international investments, and 5% in cash.
Security selection
Security
selection is the choice of the specific assets within a particular asset class,
such as stocks. Whereas asset allocation
describes the total percentage invested in stocks, security selection next
answers which individual stocks to purchase.
Capital gains
When the
price of an asset increases over and above the initial purchase price, the
difference between those two prices is called capital gain. If the price of the
asset falls over the investment horizon the investor is said to experience a
capital loss.
Example: If you buy a stock for $10 and sell it for $25, you had a capital gain.
Realized vs. unrealized capital gains/losses
Capital gains
are realized if the investor actually sells the asset and gets cash. Realizing capital gains and losses means the
investor has experienced changes in their cash position as a result of the
investment.
Unrealized capital gains/losses (a.k.a. “paper gains/losses”)
When the value of the investments
changes but the investor has not sold the asset, the capital gain or loss is
said to be unrealized.
Chapter 2 - Security overview
Coupon
The contractual interest obligation a bond issuer agrees to pay to its debtholders.
Face value
The underlying principal of a bond contract. It is the amount that an issuer agrees to repay at the maturity date of the bond.
Maturity
Maturity is the time period after which debt is due and the issuer will
repay the underlying principal or face value back to the bondholder.
Sinking fundSinking
fund is reserve fund used by the company to repay the principal amount
of bonds when they mature. Companies basically reserve some money
annually in the sinking fund so at the time of the maturity there will
not be scarcity of funds. Investors see the accumulating funds and feel
better about the company’s ability to meet their debt obligations as
they come due.
Term vs. serial bondsTerm
bonds pay off all bonds on a single maturity date. Serial bonds are
arranged so that specified principal amounts become due on staggered
dates to reduce the financial stress associated with paying off a large
principal amount on one particular date.
Secured vs. unsecured bondsSecured
bonds are back by different types of collateral. In the case of default
the borrower recovers losses to bondholders by liquidating the pledged
collateral. Unsecured bonds have no explicit collateral but are just
backed by faith and good image of the issuer. Unsecured bonds typically
have higher interest rates to reflect the additional risk associated
with the bonds. Unsecured bonds are called debentures.
Senior vs. junior (subordinated) bonds
In case of default, the senior bondholders will be paid before junior or subordinated bondholders.
Notes vs. bondsNotes
are debt instruments that have initial maturities (when issued) of up
to 10 years. Bonds have initial maturities longer than 10 years.
Municipal bondsState
or local governments offer muni bonds or municipals, as they are
called, to pay for government projects. The interest that investors
receive is exempt from some income taxes.
Treasury securitiesDebt
instruments that are issued by the U.S. government. These securities
are assumed to be free from default risk – that is, 100% of the time it
is assumed that the U.S. government will meet all of their obligations
that are due under the debt contracts.
Agency bondsA
bond, issued by a U.S. government-sponsored agency. The offerings of
these agencies are backed by the U.S. government, but not guaranteed by
the government since the agencies are usually private companies (except
Ginnie Mae). Such agencies have been set up in order to allow certain
groups of people to access low cost financing, especially students and
first-time home buyers. Some prominent issuers of agency bonds are
Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae), Federal National
Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and Federal Home Loan Mortgage
Corporation (Freddie Mac).
Price weighted indexAn
index that is computed by adding together all of the stock prices
included in the index and dividing by a divisor. Upon establishing the
index, the divisor is chosen to be the number of shares in the index.
As stocks split over time, the divisor needs to be adjusted
periodically. The Dow Jones industrial average is the most well known
price-weighted index.
Market-value weighted indexAn
index that is computed by comparing the market capitalization of the
stocks included in the index at two different times: the index date and
some initial base period.
Chapter 3 - Economy
Business cycle
Business cycle represents repetitive up and down movements in the
economy over a period of time. Historically, economies experience
natural periods of growth and contraction. Swings in the business cycle
are commonly measured by the real growth in gross domestic product
(GDP).
Top-down approach to investment analysis
Top-down investment analysis is a sequential
process for selecting investments which begins looking at general
economic issues and then works down to understand individual security
issues. First, macroeconomic issues are studied. Next, the focus turns
toward specific industries which are expected to thrive in different
stages of the economy. Finally, individual companies are selected from
those top industries.
Fed funds rate
The rate that banks charge to borrow and lend
excess reserves, typically on an overnight basis. The fed funds rate is
the interest rate that is targeted by the Federal Reserve.
Fiscal policy
Government policy related to spending and
taxation. Increased spending and tax cuts are frequently used to
increase economic activity.
Monetary policy
Actions taken by the Federal Reserve to influence
interest rates and/or the money supply. Increasing interest rates is an
attempt to slow down a rapidly growing economy which has inflationary
pressures. Decreasing interest rates is an attempt to spur economic
activity.
Budget deficit
In the U.S., the Federal government has
historically spent more money than it collects in tax revenue. To make
up the difference, the Federal government borrows heavily in the
financial markets.
Trade deficit
When a country imports more than it exports.
Cyclical vs. defensive stocks
The performance of cyclical stocks is closely
aligned with movements in the business cycle and performance of
economy. If economy is growing, cyclical companies sell significantly
more products which often increase profits. Subsequently, cyclical
stocks perform well in growth stage of the economy. Defensive stocks
are less susceptible to swings in the business cycle. An underlying
demand exists for these products regardless of the stage of the
economy.
Examples of cyclical stocks include big
ticket items such as housing, automobiles, luxury and leisure products
(air travel). Defensive companies include health care, groceries,
tobacco, and diapers.
Sector rotation
A portfolio strategy which attempts to move money into different
industries based on economic conditions. For example, investing in
cyclical stocks during times of economic growth and switching to
defensive industries as the economy shrinks.
Chapter 4 - Individual security risk and return
Dollar return
Investing in securities brings two potential sources of returns: income
and capital gains. The total dollar return includes both of these
sources.
Total percentage return (a.k.a. holding period return or HPR)
The total dollar return per dollar invested. You
can also break the total percentage return into its components, called
capital gains yield and income yield.
Capital gains yield
The percentage return earned from capital gains.
Income yield
The percentage return earned from income. The
income yield is a generic term that is used for any investment. More
commonly, the return from income goes by alternate names depending on
the specific asset. For stocks, it is called dividend yield and for
bonds, it is called current yield.
Dividend yield
The percentage return earned from a dividend paying stock.
In the financial press, dividend yield is the annual return from income
(dividends) if a stock is purchased today at the current market price.
Current yield
The percentage return earned from a coupon-paying
bond. It is calculated as the total annual interest income from the
bond divided by its current price. Current yield indicates the returns
that investor will receive strictly from income over the coming year if
they purchase the bond today.
APR (annualized percentage rate or return)
HPR is the return over a period which is typically less
than one year in length. APR is the HPR on an annual basis and is
calculated by multiplying HPR by the number of periods in a year. APR
does not account for compounding.
EAR (effective or equivalent annual rate or return)
HPR is the return over a period which is typically
less than one year in length. EAR assumes the original amount invested
is compounded each period throughout the year.
Internal rate of return
The Internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount
rate that equates the present value of inflows with the present value
of outflows. IRR determines the return from an investment by explicitly
accounting for the timing of the cash flows involved during the
investment horizon.
VarianceThe
variance measures the average squared deviation from expected. It is a
measure of uncertainty, or surprise, that may be experienced when
investing in a security. To calculate the variance, first one needs to
calculate the arithmetic average return. Then, compute the squared
difference between each observation and the arithmetic average return.
Standard deviation
The square root of the variance.
Arithmetic average returnThe
simple average return, computed by adding up all of the periods’
returns and divided by the number of periods. Arithmetic return does
not account for compounding and is therefore used as a one-period
prediction of returns.
Geometric average returnA
measure of the average compound rate of growth of an initial investment
in a portfolio over an entire investment horizon. Geometric average
return assumes that the portfolio is reinvested fully each period. To
calculate geometric average return, the returns of each period should
be compounded. Then take the nth root of the compounded return.
Market riskMarket
risk refers to uncertainty that is common to all securities in a
particular market (such as the stock market). All securities in the
market are similarly affected by changes in interest rates,
unemployment, and other general economic phenomena.
Firm specific riskUncertainty
that is unique to a company such as a strike, the outcome of
unfavorable litigation, or a natural catastrophe. This type of risk
does not affect other companies.
Liquidity risk
The uncertainty that a security can be sold quickly at close to its fair market value.
Default riskCredit
risk is the risk that a company or individual will be unable to pay the
contractual interest or principal on its debt obligations. This type of
risk is of particular concern to investors who hold bonds in their
portfolios.
Risk aversionWanting
to avoid risk unless adequately compensated for it which is the
attitude of most investors. As an example, if two investments have the
same expected return, the one with lower risk would be preferred by
risk averse investors. A riskier investment has to have a higher
expected return in order to provide an incentive for a risk-averse
investor to select it.
Risk premium
The excess compensation (return), over and above the risk free rate, or .
Margin
The margin relates to an investor’s equity position when investing.
When buying on margin, it is the proportion that is contributed by the
investor. When selling stock, it is the additional collateral required
by the lender of the shares. Margin is defined as:
Maintenance margin and margin call
When buying a stock on margin, the broker lends
money to the investor. When short selling stock, an investor lends
shares to the short seller. In these transactions, the lenders require
some security to protect them against the risk of default of the
investor. Equity represents the available cushion to the lender. In
order to be sure that this cushion remains sufficient, the lender puts
a lower bound on the margin of investment positions. If the margin
falls below the maintenance margin, the investor receives a margin call
which is a request for additional equity. If the investor fails to
either pay off part of the loan or contribute more equity to their
account, the lender will close out the position immediately. |