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Chapter 10 Day 3 · Yield curve ßà Term structure of interest rate · Upward sloping yield curve=normal yield curve · In order for investors to want to invest for a longer period of time, they need incentive. Downward sloping yield curve · Times of high inflation Humped Yield Curve · The yield curve is going from normal to inverted Dividend yield = dividends/ current price of stock (Return from Income) Current yield does same thing as dividend yield- but with bonds. Current yield=return from income= annual interest/price Problem 1 30 year, 7% coupon, Face Value= $1000, Price=$901 Current yield= 70 (annual interest)/901 (Face Value) CY=7.78% Problem 1 b. Rate-35/ (1+YTM/2) +35/(1+YTM/2)^2…..35+1000/(1+YTM/2)^60 · If it sells at a discount, the market wants a higher YTM(interest rate) then currently willing to pay) Using Problem 1 in Excel 1) Use the rate function 2) Put into excel (NPR,Rate, PV, FV) 3) =rate(60,35,-901,1000) 4) =3.93- Remember semiannual 5) =3.93*2= 7.86% What is the bond price 6 months later assuming the interest rates are unchanged?
PV=? FV=1000 NPR=59 Rate=3.93 PMT=35
HPR=Interest +CG/price=35+.43/901 HPR=3.93%
APR=3.93*2 APR=7.86
*Same as the YTM found earlier* Callable l------------------------------------------------------l----------------------------------------------l 1999 issued 2009 2009 Maturity 7% coupon, 30 year bond After 10 years, it is callable They pay the call price, $1000 plus some premium Call schedule shows each year what the premium is. Call Price 2009 1000+10% premium =$1100 2010 + 9.5% =$1095 ( continues to decline)
In 2009, interest rates have fallen, only 5%.
Interest on old bonds=7%*1000=$70 If call, interest on new bond=5%
· Further, the investors hold the bond to maturityà will make money. · Discount bonds go up in value-> enhance return
Problem 2 15 year bond, 8% coupon, $1000 Face Value Price=$1250 Call-able in 5 years, 10%
YTM PV=-1250 FV=1000 NPR=30 PMT=40 Rate=2.76
Annual Rate=2.76*2=5.53%
Yield to Call ( assume called on first call date)
PV (inflows)=PV (outflows)
40/(1+YTC/2)+40/(1+YTC/2)^2…….40+1100/(1+YTC/2)^10=1250
Use in Excel
PV=-1250 FV=1100 ( First call Price) NPR=10 PMT=40 Rate=?
Rate=2.63*2 Rate=4.22%
Realized Yield
~ Sell the bond before it reaches maturity~
10 year bond, 12%coupon, 8%yield
Hold for three years and sell for 1300
Realized Yield
Pricing the Bond -Use PV in Excel Rate=.04 NPR=20 PMT=60 FV=1000
PV=1271.81=PRICE OF BOND
PV=-1271.81 FV=1300 NPR=20 PMT=60 Rate=
Rate=5.04%*2= 10.09% |