FIL 242 - Investments

Chapter 10 Day 2

Chapter 10 Day 2

Excel Graph

10%, 10 year, 1000 face value bond

PV=(YTM/2,NPR,PMT,FV)à in excel

Example for first row= (.01/2,20,50,1000)

Example for second row=(.02/2,20,50,100)

 

Yield

Price

1%

($1,854.43)

2%

($1,721.82)

3%

($1,600.90)

4%

($1,490.54)

5%

($1,389.73)

6%

($1,297.55)

7%

($1,213.19)

8%

($1,135.90)

9%

($1,065.04)

10%

($1,000.00)

11%

($940.25)

12%

($885.30)

13%

($834.72)

14%

($788.12)

15%

($745.14)

16%

($705.46)

17%

($668.78)

18%

($634.86)

19%

($603.44)

20%

($574.32)

21%

($547.30)

 

 

 

1-In order to calculate price using PV in the Second column, first row, put in =PV(1%/2,20,50,1000).  Once excel computes this, the formula can be used for the following yield.

2- To create a scatter chart go click the insert tab-then scatter plot.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3 years, 8% coupon, $1000 face value

 

Suppose price of bond is trading at $949.24. Goal-find interest rate

Price of bond=present value of cash flows.

I=semiannual interest rate

I=YTM (Internal Rate of Return)

 

40/(1+i/2)^1 + 40/(1+i/2)^2+…..40+1000/(1+i/2)^6=$949.24 ( This shows how to set up equation on an exam)

 

On exam he will ask two things

1-      What is the equation to find out YTM.

2-      How to solve it.  Uses excel to solve the problem.

How to use excel to solve problem:

PV  =-949.24                                                                               NPER=6 ( three years *2)

       FV=+1,000                                                                                   PMT= $40

                                                                                                                YTM=?

·         Use the rate function in excel

·         =Rate(NPR,PMT,PV,FV)

·         =Rate(6,40,-949.24,1000

·         Show at least two decimals as a percentage on exam*

·         .05*2=10%. (YTM=i*2)

 

7 year bond, 9% coupon, sells for $914, find YTM

PV=-914

FV=1000

NPR=14

PMT=.09*1000=90/2=45

YTM=?

 

                Use the rate function in excel

                =Rate(NRP,PMT,PV,FV)

                =Rate(14,45,-914,100)

                =.0539*2

                =.1078 or 10.78%

 

15 year ,zero coupon bond, Face value $1000, Price $209, Find TYM

 

PV=-209

FV=1000

NPR=30

PMT=0

YTM=?

                = Use rate function in excel

                =Rate(NPR,PMT,PV,FV)

                =Rate(30,0,-209,1000)

                =5.36%*2

                =10.71%

 

Interest Rate on Bonds

 

R=R*IP+DRP+MP+LRP+CP

 

·         Real rate of interest is determined by supply and demand

·         Pay a higher interest rate for inflation

 

Type                                                                                      Rate

3-month T Bill                                                                    .01%

10-year Treasury Bond                                                  3.5%

 

·         Difference between these two is maturity. Investors need an incentive to invest for three years. Inflation could be taken into account as well.

 

GE 10-Year Bond                                                              5.48%

·         Difference between US Treasury bond and T-Bond is default risk. GE is not default free like the United States government.  Investors want an extra 2% for investing- explains why how/why investors are risk averse.

Ford 10-year Bond                                                           11.42%

·         Difference between Ford and GE is default risk.

New Car ( 5 year)                                                             7.12%

15-30-year mortgage                                                      4.59/5.15%

·         Difference between the two is credit risk. If someone defaults on a car- they will most likely get back less than in a home. ( Homes don’t depreciate as much as homes)

Credit Card                                                                         13.46

·         There is no collateral for the credit card companies.

 

Moody’s                                                                                              S&P

A                                                                                             AAA

Aa                                                                                           Aa

A                                                                                             A

Baa…                                                                                     Bbb…

C                                                                                             C

                                                                                                Default

·         The farther down the alphabet- the greater investment risk

·         S& P will repeat the same letter- example (CCC,CC,CC)

·         Moody’s will use lower cares letters( Aaa,Aa,A,Baa,Ba,Ba… and so on)

·         Anything after Baa(Moody’s) or BBB( S&P) are junk bonds. Most investors cannot/will not invest in these).

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