EUI Time Series Econometrics Working Group

Winter 2010

Date

Presenter

Paper 

By Authors

Year

2011/03/24 Alessia Paccagnini Model Validation in the DSGE Approach: A Comparison of Hybrid Models Paccagnini2011
2011/03/03  Anton Velinov Analyzing the Components of Stock Prices Velinov 2010

2011/01/31

 Tomasz Woźniak

 Granger causal analysis of VARMA-GARCH models

 Woźniak

 2010


Fall 2010

Date

Presenter

Paper 

By Authors

Year  

2010/12/09Aleksei Netsunajev  Trade Balance Dynamics in Response to Macroeconomic Shocks: Statistical and Conventional Identification in Markov Switching Structural Vector Autoregressions Netsunajev 2010
2010/12/02  Michal Markun  Do You Know How Many Structural Shocks You Have in Your Model? A Bayesian Framework for Testing Economic Models Kociecki 2008
 2010/11/11Norbert Metiu Financial Contagion in Developed Sovereign Bond Markets Metiu 2010
 2010/11/11 Claudia Foroni A comparison of mixed frequency models for Euro area macroeconomic variables Foroni, Marcellino 2010 
 2010/10/21

Pierre Guérin  Real-time Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth in the Presence of Data Revisions  Clements, Galvao 2010 
 2010/10/07 Alessia Paccagnini  A Review of Nonfundamentalness and Identification in Structural VAR Models Alessi, Barigozzi, Capasso 2008


Winter 2010

Date

Presenter

Paper

By Authors

Year

2010/02/04

 Matthieu Droumaguet

 Some Issues in Using Sign Restrictions for Identifying Structural VARs

 Fry, Pagan

 2007

2010/02/11

 Tomasz Woźniak

 Bayesian testing of second-order causality

 Woźniak

 2010

2010/02/18

 Pierre Guérin

 Markov-switching MIDAS models

 Guérin

 2010

2010/02/25

 Karol Ciszek

 Optimal Prediction Pools

 Geweke, Amisano

 2009

2010/03/04

 Wenjuan Chen

 On the economic sources of Stock Market volatility

 Engle, Ghyssels, Sohn

 2008

2010/03/11

 Michał Markun

 The choice of prior for forecasting with Bayesian vector autoregressions

 Markun

 2010

2010/03/18

 Claudia Foroni

 Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: A Global VAR Analysis

 Dees, Di Mauro, Pesaran, Smith

 2007

2010/04/22

 Anton Velinov

 Yes, the response of the US economy to energy prices is nonlinear

 Hamilton

 2009

2010/04/29

 Sandra Kaplani

 The power of long-run structural VARs

 Gust, Vigfusson

 2009

2010/05/27

 Wenjuan Chen

 Higher-Order Beliefs Among Professional Stock Market Forecasters: Some First Empirical Tests

 Rangvid, Schmeling, Schrimpf

 2009

2010/06/03

 Tomasz Woźniak

 On the use of non-local prior densities in Bayesian hypothesis tests

 Johnson, Rossel

 2010

2010/06/10

 Anton Velinov

 Analyzing the Components of Stock Prices

 Velinov

 2010

2010/06/15

 Claudia Foroni

 A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Models for Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables

 Foroni

 2010

2010/06/15

 Karol Ciszek

 A Flexible Markov Switching Model of GDP Growth

 Ciszek

 2010



Fall 2009

Date

Presenter

Paper

By Authors

Year

  2009/09/24

 Michał Markun

 A subordinated stochastic process model with finite variance for speculative prices

 Clark

1973

 2009/09/24

 Kasia Maciejowska

 Common factors in nonstationary panel data with a deterministic trend - estimation and distribution theory

 Maciejowska

 2009

2009/10/01

 Matthieu Droumaguet

 Why Agnostic Sign Restrictions Are Not Enough: Understanding the Dynamics of Oil Market VAR Models

 Kilian, Murphy

2009

2009/10/08

 Tomasz Woźniak

 Multivariate Stochastic Volatility

 Chib, Omori, Asai

2008

2009/10/15

 Anton Velinov

 Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy

 Primiceri

2005

2009/10/22

 Pierre Guérin

 The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach

 Diebold, Rudebusch, Aruoba

2006

2009/11/05

 Andrei Sirchenko

 Inflated ordered probit model and its applications

 Sirchenko

2009

2009/11/12

 Claudia Foroni

 Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational - Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases

 Giannone, Small

2008

2009/11/19

 Michał Markun

 Noncausal vector autoregression

 Lanne, Saikkonen

2009

2009/12/03

 Anton Velinov

 Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference

 Rubio-Ramírez, Waggoner, Zha

2008

2009/12/10

 Pierre Guérin

 Forecasting Using a Large Number of Predictors. Is Bayesian Regression a Valid Alternative to Principal Components?

 De Mol, Reichlin

2008